Mark Massa

Mark Massa

Trade Deadline 2010: Buyers or Sellers? The Balance Between Winning Now and Building for the Future.

It’s that time of year again – trade deadline season.  The official deadline to complete trades is 2 p.m. Central time on Wednesday afternoon.  The main question on many Blues fans minds is likely, should the Blues be buyers or sellers at the deadline?  Or should they simply stand pat?  It’s an intriguing question as the Blues try to balance between going for the playoffs and building for the future. 

The Blues primarily need to build for the future but at the same time, this is a business and the Blues could definitely use the revenue playoff games would produce.  Selling off assets at the deadline would likely result in a few more young players, draft picks or prospects while also likely resulting in a fairly low finish in the standings and thus another fairly high draft choice in this summer’s draft.  At the same time, a playoff berth would result in experience for the current Blues youth as well as much needed income for ownership – income that could then eventually be funneled back into hockey operations in the form of an expensive, high-level player perhaps. 

Overall, I expect this to be a relatively quiet trade deadline around the NHL.  With so many teams bunched around and close to the last few playoff spots, there are really only a few true buyers and only a few obvious sellers.  The other 15 to 20 teams seem to be in the mode of, “if a deal comes along and fits, great, if not, we’re standing pat.”  This is precisely where the Blues are.  They have quite a few players that could help other teams make Cup runs while they also have plenty of holes on the roster to fill for next season and beyond.  At the same time, the Blues could very well stick with what they have and try to eek into the playoffs just like they did last season…and that’s exactly what I expect them to do.  Perhaps they’ll make a fairly minor trade, say one of Colaiacovo, Sydor or Weaver for a more future asset since Strachan could easily replace one of them, but for the most part, I expect the Blues to be relatively quiet unless a trade comes along that knocks their socks off that they simply can’t pass up.  Blues veterans Keith Tkachuk and Paul Kariya seem poised to not waive their no movement clauses, wanting to remain with the team through the remainder of the season…although such things can change at an instant in this business. 

The Blues aren’t high enough in the standings to justify spending quality assets for rental players and they’re not low enough in the standings to justify writing off the season and shipping some veterans off for potential future assets.  The fans that attend the games deserve to have the team fight for every last point.  I’m sure many fans would prefer the team take a long-term view of things and keep accumulating youth but I’m also sure quite a few fans are more interested in seeing playoff hockey than who the teams happens to draft this summer.  It’s a fine line the Blues are trying to balance, one between winning now and building for the future, but with potential playoff revenue at stake, and the almost pure profit it produces, it seems to be a line the Blues plan to keep balancing on.   

What do you think the Blues will do at the deadline?  What do you WANT them to do?  Let’s hear it Blues Nation.

Where Will Alex Pietrangelo Finish the Season?

Alex Pietrangelo

Alex Pietrangelo

Later this evening, Alex Pietrangelo will be taking aim at his second and Canada’s sixth straight World Junior Championships gold medal.  Along with fellow Blues draftee goaltender Jake Allen, Canada will take on the U.S. team, also with two Blues draftees in Philip McRae and David Warsofsky, at 7:00 p.m. on NHL Network in the U.S. and on TSN in Canada.

While Allen, McRae and Warsofsky know where they will be playing the rest of their respective seasons, where Pietrangelo will finish out the season is still very much up in the air.  Will he finish the season with the Blues or will he be returned to finish out the season in the OHL?  If he returns to the Blues, how much will he actually play?  If returned to juniors, will the level of skill there sufficiently challenge him?  The Blues have many factors to consider before deciding what to ultimately do with Pietrangelo.

Prior to the World Junior tournament, Blues President John Davidson stated that “Petro” will be returning to the Blues after the World Juniors, not immediately being returned to the OHL but did not commit to Alex staying with the team for the rest of the season.  Davidson then stated in a radio interview with Bernie Miklasz on 101.1 ESPN Radio earlier today that they have mostly already made their decision regarding Alex but was mum on what the decision was.

Due to an agreement between the NHL and CHL, Pietrangelo must be returned to his OHL team if he is not retained on the Blues’ roster; AHL Peoria is not an option for him.  Pietrangelo has played nine games for the Blues so far this season and if he plays a 10th, this season counts as the first year of his contract.  On the other hand, if the Blues return Pietrangelo to the OHL without him playing in another NHL game, they can delay his contract from starting until next season.  The Blues also have the option of playing Alex in 10 or more games this season and then at a later date returning him to the OHL but his contract would still count for this season.  Thus, this is an unlikely option since if they are going to burn a year of his contract, they will likely want to utilize him.  The main problem with keeping Pietrangelo is where do the Blues put him?  They already have seven healthy defensemen in Erik Johnson, Eric Brewer, Barret Jackman, Roman Polak, Carlo Colaiacovo, Mike Weaver and Darryl Sydor.  It’s doubtful the Blues would carry eight defensemen.  For Alex to remain with the Blues, that would likely require one of the current seven to either be traded or injured to open up a spot for “Petro”.  How willing the Blues would be to potentially make roster moves to accommodate Alex is uncertain.

Another twist to the debate is that the Blues are likely not too keen of the idea of returning Alex to the Niagara Ice Dogs, currently with the worst record in the OHL at 12-22-2-3.  Niagara currently holds Pietrangelo’s rights and Alex has been Niagara’s top player for a couple of years now while largely dominating OHL competition.  Since the AHL is not an option for him, and if the Blues decide to not keep him in the NHL, they will likely want him playing for a top-tier OHL team if they decide that’s the way they want to go.  For the Blues to feel comfortable returning Pietrangelo to juniors, Niagara would likely have to trade him to a top OHL team.  The problem is, how can Niagara trade an asset they don’t really have?  Why would a top-tier OHL team give up assets to Niagara while the possibility that the Blues keep Petro in the NHL still exists?  For this option to work, a gentleman’s agreement between the Blues, Ice Dogs and whichever OHL team “Petro” might be trade to would likely have to be worked out.  Many OHL teams appear to be interested in Alex’s services, notably the Barrie Colts, currently the team with the best record in the OHL.

The Blues could very well use a defenseman with the offensive skills Alex possesses and Alex would benefit from continuing to learn at the NHL level yet at the same time, the Blues already have enough defensemen and can delay the start of his contract for another year if they decide to return him to the OHL.  The Blues also have to consider how willing they are to put up with the defensive lapses of a 19 year-old defensemen.  It’s no secret that Alex still has quite a bit of development yet to do in the defensive zone.  I’m sure newly appointed Blues head coach Davis Payne will have his input on the decision as well.  Numerous factors will end up determining Alex’s fate:

How will Pietrangelo perform in practice after returning from the World Juniors?

How will the other seven defensemen perform?

Will one of the current seven suffer an injury?

Will one of the current seven be traded or waived?

How do the Blues feel regarding Alex’s development in the OHL?

If willing to return him to the OHL, will the Blues and Ice Dogs be able to orchestrate a trade to a contending OHL team?

Given all of the factors, the Blues decision on what to do with Alex for the rest of the season will not be an easy one.  Looking at the situation from the outside, I would think that for the Blues to make room for Pietrangelo at this point in the season and to start the clock on his contract, Alex will have to be very impressive in practice to remain with the Blues.  If not or if the Blues simply cannot justify keeping him on the NHL roster for the remainder of the season, finishing off the year on a top-tier OHL team and then likely going deep into the OHL playoffs would not be the worst thing in the world for him.  He will likely learn and develop a little more by finishing the year with the Blues but long-term, it likely won’t matter much.  I could see the decision on Pietrangelo really going either way at this point.  Regardless, we should all know where Pietrangelo will be playing the rest of the season fairly soon.

EDIT: Only a few hours after the U.S. beat Canada in the gold medal game, the Blues announced that Pietrangelo will be returned to his junior team, the Niagara Ice Dogs.  While there were plenty of reasons to keep Alex with the Blues, it appears it ultimately came down to the Blues not wanting to make room for Alex in the lineup, didn’t want to burn the first year of his contract and perhaps wern’t comfortable with his defensive game enough quite yet.

From here, I’ll be interested to see if “Petro” gets traded to an OHL playoff contender.  I would be quite surprised if Alex spends the rest of the season with Niagara.

Yan Stastny Clears Re-Entry Waivers

Stastny Clears Waivers

Stastny Clears Waivers

Word this morning is that Yan Stastny has cleared re-entry waivers as he is on the ice practicing with the team.  Stastny will join the Blues for their game tomorrow night against the Carolina Hurricanes. 

Yan is currently the team leader in points for the Peoria Rivermen and was recently named team captain.  This will be a big loss for the Rivermen but Stastny deserves this promotion to the Blues. 

He won’t be able to fully replace T.J. Oshie, who will miss the next two weeks following an appendectomy, or Alex Steen, who will be out another 5-7 weeks with a broken wrist, but Yan is a solid checker, always gives 100%, is a good penalty killer and is a good character guy.

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